Mercedes Constructors' Championship Odds
P1 · 379 pts · 0 behind the leader · 84.5% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 379 (P1)
- Gap to leader: 0
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Driver contribution & reliability
Which driver is carrying Mercedes's points, and how reliable the car has been this season.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli219 pts · 57.8%
George Russell160 pts · 42.2%
Reliability: 86.4% finish rateDNFs: 3 across 22 starts
Recent points
Mercedes's points haul across the last 5 races.
Hungarian21
Belgian25
British18
Austrian40
Barcelona18
Pit stops at the Hungarian Grand Prix: 2 stops, 21.79s average, 21.33s fastest.
Next race: Dutch Grand Prix
Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort — 2026-08-23.
FAQ
What are Mercedes's Constructors' Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 84.5% chance that Mercedes wins the Constructors' Championship. Mercedes sits P1 on 379 points, 0 behind the leader.
Can Mercedes still win the Constructors' title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left and up to 300 points available, the 0-point gap is still bridgeable.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.