Mercedes Constructors' Championship Odds
P1 · 358 pts · 0 behind the leader · 83.5% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 358 (P1)
- Gap to leader: 0
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Driver contribution & reliability
Which driver is carrying Mercedes's points, and how reliable the car has been this season.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli204 pts · 57%
George Russell154 pts · 43%
Reliability: 85% finish rateDNFs: 3 across 20 starts
Recent points
Mercedes's points haul across the last 5 races.
Belgian25
British18
Austrian40
Barcelona18
Monaco25
Pit stops at the Belgian Grand Prix: 1 stops, 23.09s average, 23.09s fastest.
Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix
Hungaroring, Budapest — 2026-07-26.
30%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Mercedes's Constructors' Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 83.5% chance that Mercedes wins the Constructors' Championship. Mercedes sits P1 on 358 points, 0 behind the leader.
Can Mercedes still win the Constructors' title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left and up to 300 points available, the 0-point gap is still bridgeable.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.