Mercedes Constructors' Championship Odds

P1 · 578 pts · 0 behind the leader · 99.2% implied on Polymarket.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes99.2%Bet
No0.8%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 578 (P1)
  • Gap to leader: 0
  • Races remaining: 6 (max 150 points available)
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Driver contribution & reliability

Which driver is carrying Mercedes's points, and how reliable the car has been this season.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli340 pts · 58.8%
George Russell238 pts · 41.2%
Reliability: 100% finish rateDNFs: 0 across 9 starts

Next race: United States Grand Prix

Circuit of the Americas, Austin — 2026-10-25.

1%Rain chance
22°CAir temp
21.6 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Mercedes's Constructors' Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 99.2% chance that Mercedes wins the Constructors' Championship. Mercedes sits P1 on 578 points, 0 behind the leader.

Can Mercedes still win the Constructors' title?

Yes — mathematically. With 6 races left and up to 150 points available, the 0-point gap is still bridgeable.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.