Mercedes Constructors' Championship Odds
P1 · 262 pts · 0 behind the leader · 82.5% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 262 (P1)
- Gap to leader: 0
- Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Driver contribution & reliability
Which driver is carrying Mercedes's points, and how reliable the car has been this season.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli156 pts · 59.5%
George Russell106 pts · 40.5%
Reliability: 85.7% finish rateDNFs: 2 across 14 starts
Recent points
Mercedes's points haul across the last 5 races.
Barcelona18
Monaco25
Canadian25
Miami37
Japanese37
Pit stops at the Barcelona Grand Prix: 2 stops, 22.06s average, 22.04s fastest.
Next race: Austrian Grand Prix
Red Bull Ring, Spielberg — 2026-06-28.
17%Rain chance
25°CAir temp
9.7 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Mercedes's Constructors' Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 82.5% chance that Mercedes wins the Constructors' Championship. Mercedes sits P1 on 262 points, 0 behind the leader.
Can Mercedes still win the Constructors' title?
Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left and up to 375 points available, the 0-point gap is still bridgeable.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.