Who is really winning the F1 title?
GridOdds reads the live Polymarket prediction markets and sets them against the real standings, remaining-points math, and race-week weather. Right now the market makes Andrea Kimi Antonelli the favourite at 92.4%.
Drivers' Championship
Market vs standings
The Edge column shows how far Polymarket's implied probability sits above or below each driver's share of the points scored so far.
| # | Driver | Points | Wins | Market % | 7d | Edge | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 292 | 8 | 92.4% | — | +74.1 | Bet |
| 2 | George Russell | 211 | 2 | 2.2% | — | -11 | Bet |
| 3 | Lewis Hamilton | 191 | 1 | 0.6% | — | -11.4 | Bet |
| 4 | Lando Norris | 186 | 2 | 3.1% | — | -8.6 | Bet |
| 5 | Charles Leclerc | 167 | 1 | 0.6% | — | -9.9 | Bet |
| 6 | Max Verstappen | 145 | 0 | 0.3% | — | -8.8 | Bet |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri | 120 | 0 | 0.1% | — | -7.4 | Bet |
| 8 | Isack Hadjar | 71 | 0 | 0.1% | — | -4.4 | Bet |
| 9 | Liam Lawson | 59 | 0 | 0.1% | — | -3.6 | Bet |
| 10 | Pierre Gasly | 41 | 0 | 0% | — | -2.6 | Bet |
| 11 | Arvid Lindblad | 31 | 0 | 0% | — | -1.9 | Bet |
| 12 | Franco Colapinto | 27 | 0 | 0% | — | -1.7 | Bet |
| 13 | Oliver Bearman | 18 | 0 | 0% | — | -1.1 | Bet |
| 14 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 10 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.6 | Bet |
| 15 | Nico Hülkenberg | 7 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.4 | Bet |
| 16 | Carlos Sainz | 6 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.4 | Bet |
| 17 | Alexander Albon | 5 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.3 | Bet |
| 18 | Esteban Ocon | 3 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.2 | Bet |
| 19 | Fernando Alonso | 3 | 0 | 0% | — | -0.2 | Bet |
| 20 | Yuki Tsunoda | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | Bet |
| 21 | Lance Stroll | 0 | 0 | 0% | — | +0 | Bet |
| 22 | Valtteri Bottas | 0 | 0 | 0% | — | +0 | Bet |
| 23 | Sergio Pérez | 0 | 0 | 0% | — | +0 | Bet |
Market movement
Biggest movers this week
Where the money moved over the last seven days, straight from the price history.
Constructors' Championship
The team title race
Polymarket's team odds next to the constructors' standings and points gaps.
| # | Constructor | Points | Wins | Market % | Edge | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercedes | 503 | 10 | 96.5% | +64.9 | Bet |
| 2 | Ferrari | 358 | 2 | 0.5% | -22 | Bet |
| 3 | McLaren | 306 | 2 | 0.7% | -18.5 | Bet |
| 4 | Red Bull | 230 | 0 | 0.1% | -14.3 | Bet |
| 5 | RB F1 Team | 77 | 0 | — | — | Bet |
| 6 | Alpine F1 Team | 68 | 0 | — | — | Bet |
| 7 | Haas F1 Team | 21 | 0 | — | — | Bet |
| 8 | Audi | 17 | 0 | 0% | -1.1 | Bet |
| 9 | Williams | 11 | 0 | 0% | -0.7 | Bet |
| 10 | Aston Martin | 3 | 0 | 0% | -0.2 | Bet |
| 11 | Cadillac F1 Team | 0 | 0 | — | — | Bet |
Next Grand Prix
Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Baku City Circuit, Baku (Azerbaijan), 2026-09-26.
Trade the F1 title markets
GridOdds reads the live Polymarket prices. When you are ready to back a call, you trade on Polymarket itself.
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Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds via the public Polymarket Gamma API. Weather via Open-Meteo. Photography via Unsplash & Pexels.