Charles Leclerc F1 Championship Odds

P4 · 126 pts · 1 wins · 78 behind the leader · 3.2% implied on Polymarket.

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.9%Bet
Yes3.2%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 126 (P4)
  • Gap to leader: 78
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 12.6 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 6.5 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix4P218Finished
British Grand Prix2P125Finished
Austrian Grand Prix2P84Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix10P150Retired
Monaco Grand Prix4P170Retired

Qualifying trend

BelgianP5
BritishP2
AustrianP2
BarcelonaP10
MonacoP4

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

30%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Charles Leclerc's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 3.2% chance that Charles Leclerc wins the Drivers' Championship. Charles Leclerc sits P4 on 126 points, 78 behind the leader.

Can Charles Leclerc still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 78-point gap, Charles Leclerc needs to average 6.5 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.