Charles Leclerc F1 Championship Odds

P4 · 138 pts · 1 wins · 81 behind the leader · 3% implied on Polymarket.

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.1%Bet
Yes3%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 138 (P4)
  • Gap to leader: 81
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 12.5 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 6.8 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Hungarian Grand Prix2P412Finished
Belgian Grand Prix4P218Finished
British Grand Prix2P125Finished
Austrian Grand Prix2P84Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix10P150Retired

Qualifying trend

HungarianP3
BelgianP5
BritishP2
AustrianP2
BarcelonaP10

Next race: Dutch Grand Prix

Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort2026-08-23.

FAQ

What are Charles Leclerc's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 3% chance that Charles Leclerc wins the Drivers' Championship. Charles Leclerc sits P4 on 138 points, 81 behind the leader.

Can Charles Leclerc still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 81-point gap, Charles Leclerc needs to average 6.8 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.