Oliver Bearman F1 Championship Odds

P12 · 18 pts · 0 wins · 138 behind the leader · 0.3% implied on Polymarket.

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 18 (P12)
  • Gap to leader: 138
  • Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
  • Average so far: 2.6 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 9.2 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Barcelona Grand Prix15P170Retired
Monaco Grand Prix19P200Retired
Canadian Grand Prix16P101Lapped
Miami Grand Prix12P110Lapped
Japanese Grand Prix18P220Retired

Qualifying trend

BarcelonaP15
MonacoP19
CanadianP16
MiamiP12
JapaneseP18

Next race: Austrian Grand Prix

Red Bull Ring, Spielberg2026-06-28.

27%Rain chance
26°CAir temp
8.9 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Oliver Bearman's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.3% chance that Oliver Bearman wins the Drivers' Championship. Oliver Bearman sits P12 on 18 points, 138 behind the leader.

Can Oliver Bearman still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 138-point gap, Oliver Bearman needs to average 9.2 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.