Oliver Bearman F1 Championship Odds

P13 · 18 pts · 0 wins · 186 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 18 (P13)
  • Gap to leader: 186
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 1.8 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 15.5 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix14P140Finished
British Grand Prix13P120Finished
Austrian Grand Prix13P140Lapped
Barcelona Grand Prix15P170Retired
Monaco Grand Prix19P200Retired

Qualifying trend

BelgianP16
BritishP14
AustrianP13
BarcelonaP15
MonacoP19

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

37%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Oliver Bearman's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Oliver Bearman wins the Drivers' Championship. Oliver Bearman sits P13 on 18 points, 186 behind the leader.

Can Oliver Bearman still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 186-point gap, Oliver Bearman needs to average 15.5 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.