Max Verstappen F1 Championship Odds

P7 · 55 pts · 0 wins · 101 behind the leader · 1.9% implied on Polymarket.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.2%Bet
Yes1.9%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 55 (P7)
  • Gap to leader: 101
  • Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
  • Average so far: 7.9 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 6.7 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Barcelona Grand Prix5P412Finished
Monaco Grand Prix2P220Retired
Canadian Grand Prix6P315Finished
Miami Grand Prix2P510Finished
Japanese Grand Prix11P84Finished

Qualifying trend

BarcelonaP5
MonacoP2
CanadianP6
MiamiP2
JapaneseP11

Next race: Austrian Grand Prix

Red Bull Ring, Spielberg2026-06-28.

17%Rain chance
25°CAir temp
9.7 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Max Verstappen's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 1.9% chance that Max Verstappen wins the Drivers' Championship. Max Verstappen sits P7 on 55 points, 101 behind the leader.

Can Max Verstappen still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 101-point gap, Max Verstappen needs to average 6.7 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.