Max Verstappen F1 Championship Odds

P4 · 221 pts · 2 wins · 119 behind the leader · 1.2% implied on Polymarket.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.8%Bet
Yes1.2%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 221 (P4)
  • Gap to leader: 119
  • Races remaining: 6 (max 150 points available)
  • Average so far: 13 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 19.8 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Next race: United States Grand Prix

Circuit of the Americas, Austin — 2026-10-25.

1%Rain chance
22°CAir temp
21.6 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Max Verstappen's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 1.2% chance that Max Verstappen wins the Drivers' Championship. Max Verstappen sits P4 on 221 points, 119 behind the leader.

Can Max Verstappen still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 6 races left, a maximum of 150 points remain. To erase the 119-point gap, Max Verstappen needs to average 19.8 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.