Max Verstappen F1 Championship Odds

P6 · 109 pts · 0 wins · 110 behind the leader · 1.7% implied on Polymarket.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.3%Bet
Yes1.7%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 109 (P6)
  • Gap to leader: 110
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 9.9 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 9.2 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Hungarian Grand Prix4P218Finished
Belgian Grand Prix2P315Finished
British Grand Prix7P200Retired
Austrian Grand Prix5P218Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix5P412Finished

Qualifying trend

HungarianP6
BelgianP2
BritishP7
AustrianP5
BarcelonaP5

Next race: Dutch Grand Prix

Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort2026-08-23.

FAQ

What are Max Verstappen's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 1.7% chance that Max Verstappen wins the Drivers' Championship. Max Verstappen sits P6 on 109 points, 110 behind the leader.

Can Max Verstappen still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 110-point gap, Max Verstappen needs to average 9.2 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.