Max Verstappen F1 Championship Odds

P7 · 91 pts · 0 wins · 113 behind the leader · 2.5% implied on Polymarket.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.6%Bet
Yes2.5%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 91 (P7)
  • Gap to leader: 113
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 9.1 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 9.4 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix2P315Finished
British Grand Prix7P200Retired
Austrian Grand Prix5P218Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix5P412Finished
Monaco Grand Prix2P220Retired

Qualifying trend

BelgianP2
BritishP7
AustrianP5
BarcelonaP5
MonacoP2

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

37%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
17 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Max Verstappen's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 2.5% chance that Max Verstappen wins the Drivers' Championship. Max Verstappen sits P7 on 91 points, 113 behind the leader.

Can Max Verstappen still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 113-point gap, Max Verstappen needs to average 9.4 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.