Carlos Sainz F1 Championship Odds
P14 · 6 pts · 0 wins · 150 behind the leader · 0.3% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 6 (P14)
- Gap to leader: 150
- Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
- Average so far: 0.9 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 10 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Grand Prix | 16 | P12 | 0 | Lapped |
| Monaco Grand Prix | 12 | P16 | 0 | Retired |
| Canadian Grand Prix | 15 | P9 | 2 | Lapped |
| Miami Grand Prix | 13 | P9 | 2 | Finished |
| Japanese Grand Prix | 16 | P15 | 0 | Finished |
Qualifying trend
BarcelonaP16
MonacoP12
CanadianP15
MiamiP13
JapaneseP16
Next race: Austrian Grand Prix
Red Bull Ring, Spielberg — 2026-06-28.
27%Rain chance
26°CAir temp
8.9 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Carlos Sainz's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 0.3% chance that Carlos Sainz wins the Drivers' Championship. Carlos Sainz sits P14 on 6 points, 150 behind the leader.
Can Carlos Sainz still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 150-point gap, Carlos Sainz needs to average 10 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.