Carlos Sainz F1 Championship Odds
P15 · 6 pts · 0 wins · 198 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 6 (P15)
- Gap to leader: 198
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Average so far: 0.6 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 16.5 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Grand Prix | 19 | P16 | 0 | Finished |
| British Grand Prix | 14 | P17 | 0 | Lapped |
| Austrian Grand Prix | 17 | P20 | 0 | Retired |
| Barcelona Grand Prix | 16 | P12 | 0 | Lapped |
| Monaco Grand Prix | 12 | P16 | 0 | Retired |
Qualifying trend
BelgianP15
BritishP15
AustrianP17
BarcelonaP16
MonacoP12
Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix
Hungaroring, Budapest — 2026-07-26.
37%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Carlos Sainz's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Carlos Sainz wins the Drivers' Championship. Carlos Sainz sits P15 on 6 points, 198 behind the leader.
Can Carlos Sainz still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 198-point gap, Carlos Sainz needs to average 16.5 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.