Lando Norris F1 Championship Odds
P5 · 103 pts · 0 wins · 101 behind the leader · 1.9% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 103 (P5)
- Gap to leader: 101
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Average so far: 10.3 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 8.4 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Grand Prix | 13 | P7 | 6 | Finished |
| British Grand Prix | 6 | P4 | 12 | Finished |
| Austrian Grand Prix | 6 | P7 | 6 | Finished |
| Barcelona Grand Prix | 4 | P3 | 15 | Finished |
| Monaco Grand Prix | 8 | P19 | 0 | Retired |
Qualifying trend
BelgianP3
BritishP6
AustrianP6
BarcelonaP4
MonacoP8
Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix
Hungaroring, Budapest — 2026-07-26.
49%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
17 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Lando Norris's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 1.9% chance that Lando Norris wins the Drivers' Championship. Lando Norris sits P5 on 103 points, 101 behind the leader.
Can Lando Norris still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 101-point gap, Lando Norris needs to average 8.4 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.