Liam Lawson F1 Championship Odds

P9 · 43 pts · 0 wins · 176 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.

Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 43 (P9)
  • Gap to leader: 176
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 3.9 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 14.7 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Next race: Dutch Grand Prix

Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort2026-08-23.

FAQ

What are Liam Lawson's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Liam Lawson wins the Drivers' Championship. Liam Lawson sits P9 on 43 points, 176 behind the leader.

Can Liam Lawson still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 176-point gap, Liam Lawson needs to average 14.7 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.