Liam Lawson F1 Championship Odds

P10 · 39 pts · 0 wins · 165 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.

Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 39 (P10)
  • Gap to leader: 165
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 3.9 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 13.8 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix9P120Finished
British Grand Prix10P68Finished
Austrian Grand Prix9P92Lapped
Barcelona Grand Prix8P84Lapped
Monaco Grand Prix10P68Finished

Qualifying trend

BelgianP11
BritishP10
AustrianP9
BarcelonaP8
MonacoP10

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

37%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
17 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Liam Lawson's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Liam Lawson wins the Drivers' Championship. Liam Lawson sits P10 on 39 points, 165 behind the leader.

Can Liam Lawson still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 165-point gap, Liam Lawson needs to average 13.8 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.