Liam Lawson F1 Championship Odds

P10 · 26 pts · 0 wins · 130 behind the leader · 0.2% implied on Polymarket.

Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 26 (P10)
  • Gap to leader: 130
  • Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
  • Average so far: 3.7 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 8.7 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Barcelona Grand Prix8P84Lapped
Monaco Grand Prix10P68Finished
Canadian Grand Prix12P76Lapped
Miami Grand Prix11P200Retired
Japanese Grand Prix14P92Finished

Qualifying trend

BarcelonaP8
MonacoP10
CanadianP12
MiamiP11
JapaneseP14

Next race: Austrian Grand Prix

Red Bull Ring, Spielberg2026-06-28.

27%Rain chance
26°CAir temp
8.9 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Liam Lawson's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.2% chance that Liam Lawson wins the Drivers' Championship. Liam Lawson sits P10 on 26 points, 130 behind the leader.

Can Liam Lawson still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 130-point gap, Liam Lawson needs to average 8.7 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.