Andrea Kimi Antonelli F1 Championship Odds

P1 · 204 pts · 6 wins · 0 behind the leader · 74.3% implied on Polymarket.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes74.3%Bet
No25.8%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 204 (P1)
  • Gap to leader: 0
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 20.4 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 0 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix1P125Finished
British Grand Prix1P150Finished
Austrian Grand Prix4P315Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix3P160Retired
Monaco Grand Prix1P125Finished

Qualifying trend

BelgianP1
BritishP1
AustrianP4
BarcelonaP3
MonacoP1

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

37%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
17 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Andrea Kimi Antonelli's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 74.3% chance that Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the Drivers' Championship. Andrea Kimi Antonelli sits P1 on 204 points, 0 behind the leader.

Can Andrea Kimi Antonelli still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 0-point gap, Andrea Kimi Antonelli needs to average 0 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.