Lewis Hamilton F1 Championship Odds
P2 · 159 pts · 1 wins · 45 behind the leader · 10.6% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 159 (P2)
- Gap to leader: 45
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Average so far: 15.9 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 3.8 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Grand Prix | 5 | P4 | 12 | Finished |
| British Grand Prix | 3 | P3 | 15 | Finished |
| Austrian Grand Prix | 3 | P5 | 10 | Finished |
| Barcelona Grand Prix | 2 | P1 | 25 | Finished |
| Monaco Grand Prix | 3 | P2 | 18 | Finished |
Qualifying trend
BelgianP6
BritishP3
AustrianP3
BarcelonaP2
MonacoP3
Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix
Hungaroring, Budapest — 2026-07-26.
30%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Lewis Hamilton's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 10.6% chance that Lewis Hamilton wins the Drivers' Championship. Lewis Hamilton sits P2 on 159 points, 45 behind the leader.
Can Lewis Hamilton still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 45-point gap, Lewis Hamilton needs to average 3.8 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.