Lewis Hamilton F1 Championship Odds
P3 · 229 pts · 1 wins · 111 behind the leader · 0.2% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 229 (P3)
- Gap to leader: 111
- Races remaining: 6 (max 150 points available)
- Average so far: 13.5 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 18.5 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Grand Prix | 3 | P6 | 8 | Finished |
| Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia | 2 | P3 | 15 | Finished |
| Azerbaijan Grand Prix | 6 | P6 | 8 | Finished |
| Spanish Grand Prix | 4 | P22 | 0 | Retired |
| Italian Grand Prix | 4 | P6 | 8 | Finished |
Next race: United States Grand Prix
Circuit of the Americas, Austin — 2026-10-25.
13%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
20.9 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Lewis Hamilton's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 0.2% chance that Lewis Hamilton wins the Drivers' Championship. Lewis Hamilton sits P3 on 229 points, 111 behind the leader.
Can Lewis Hamilton still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 6 races left, a maximum of 150 points remain. To erase the 111-point gap, Lewis Hamilton needs to average 18.5 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.