Lewis Hamilton F1 Championship Odds
P2 · 169 pts · 1 wins · 50 behind the leader · 10% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 169 (P2)
- Gap to leader: 50
- Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
- Average so far: 15.4 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 4.2 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Next race: Dutch Grand Prix
Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort — 2026-08-23.
FAQ
What are Lewis Hamilton's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 10% chance that Lewis Hamilton wins the Drivers' Championship. Lewis Hamilton sits P2 on 169 points, 50 behind the leader.
Can Lewis Hamilton still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 50-point gap, Lewis Hamilton needs to average 4.2 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.