Lewis Hamilton F1 Championship Odds
P2 · 115 pts · 1 wins · 41 behind the leader · 15% implied on Polymarket.
Title probability over time
The title math
- Points: 115 (P2)
- Gap to leader: 41
- Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
- Average so far: 16.4 pts/race
- Needed to catch the leader: 2.7 pts/race
- Still mathematically alive: Yes
Last 5 results
| Race | Grid | Finish | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Grand Prix | 2 | P1 | 25 | Finished |
| Monaco Grand Prix | 3 | P2 | 18 | Finished |
| Canadian Grand Prix | 5 | P2 | 18 | Finished |
| Miami Grand Prix | 6 | P6 | 8 | Finished |
| Japanese Grand Prix | 6 | P6 | 8 | Finished |
Qualifying trend
BarcelonaP2
MonacoP3
CanadianP5
MiamiP6
JapaneseP6
Next race: Austrian Grand Prix
Red Bull Ring, Spielberg — 2026-06-28.
17%Rain chance
25°CAir temp
9.7 km/hMax wind
FAQ
What are Lewis Hamilton's F1 Championship odds?
Polymarket currently implies a 15% chance that Lewis Hamilton wins the Drivers' Championship. Lewis Hamilton sits P2 on 115 points, 41 behind the leader.
Can Lewis Hamilton still win the title?
Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 41-point gap, Lewis Hamilton needs to average 2.7 points per race more than the leader.
Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.