Fernando Alonso F1 Championship Odds

P18 · 1 pts · 0 wins · 203 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 1 (P18)
  • Gap to leader: 203
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 0.1 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 16.9 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix22P190Lapped
British Grand Prix21P180Lapped
Austrian Grand Prix21P180Lapped
Barcelona Grand Prix22P190Retired
Monaco Grand Prix21P101Finished

Qualifying trend

BelgianP21
BritishP22
AustrianP21
BarcelonaP22
MonacoP21

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

30%Rain chance
24°CAir temp
18.8 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Fernando Alonso's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Fernando Alonso wins the Drivers' Championship. Fernando Alonso sits P18 on 1 points, 203 behind the leader.

Can Fernando Alonso still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 203-point gap, Fernando Alonso needs to average 16.9 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.