Fernando Alonso F1 Championship Odds

P18 · 1 pts · 0 wins · 155 behind the leader · 0.3% implied on Polymarket.

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 1 (P18)
  • Gap to leader: 155
  • Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
  • Average so far: 0.1 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 10.3 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Barcelona Grand Prix22P190Retired
Monaco Grand Prix21P101Finished
Canadian Grand Prix19P200Retired
Miami Grand Prix17P150Lapped
Japanese Grand Prix21P180Lapped

Qualifying trend

BarcelonaP22
MonacoP21
CanadianP19
MiamiP17
JapaneseP21

Next race: Austrian Grand Prix

Red Bull Ring, Spielberg2026-06-28.

27%Rain chance
26°CAir temp
8.9 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are Fernando Alonso's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.3% chance that Fernando Alonso wins the Drivers' Championship. Fernando Alonso sits P18 on 1 points, 155 behind the leader.

Can Fernando Alonso still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 155-point gap, Fernando Alonso needs to average 10.3 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.