Fernando Alonso F1 Championship Odds

P19 · 1 pts · 0 wins · 218 behind the leader · 0.1% implied on Polymarket.

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 1 (P19)
  • Gap to leader: 218
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 0.1 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 18.2 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Next race: Dutch Grand Prix

Circuit Park Zandvoort, Zandvoort2026-08-23.

FAQ

What are Fernando Alonso's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 0.1% chance that Fernando Alonso wins the Drivers' Championship. Fernando Alonso sits P19 on 1 points, 218 behind the leader.

Can Fernando Alonso still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 218-point gap, Fernando Alonso needs to average 18.2 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.