George Russell F1 Championship Odds

P3 · 154 pts · 2 wins · 50 behind the leader · 8.5% implied on Polymarket.

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No91.5%Bet
Yes8.5%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 154 (P3)
  • Gap to leader: 50
  • Races remaining: 12 (max 300 points available)
  • Average so far: 15.4 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 4.2 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Belgian Grand Prix3P220Retired
British Grand Prix4P218Finished
Austrian Grand Prix1P125Finished
Barcelona Grand Prix1P218Finished
Monaco Grand Prix6P120Finished

Qualifying trend

BelgianP4
BritishP4
AustrianP1
BarcelonaP1
MonacoP6

Next race: Hungarian Grand Prix

Hungaroring, Budapest2026-07-26.

49%Rain chance
23°CAir temp
17 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are George Russell's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 8.5% chance that George Russell wins the Drivers' Championship. George Russell sits P3 on 154 points, 50 behind the leader.

Can George Russell still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 12 races left, a maximum of 300 points remain. To erase the 50-point gap, George Russell needs to average 4.2 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.