George Russell F1 Championship Odds

P3 · 106 pts · 1 wins · 50 behind the leader · 14% implied on Polymarket.

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No86%Bet
Yes14%Bet

Title probability over time

The title math

  • Points: 106 (P3)
  • Gap to leader: 50
  • Races remaining: 15 (max 375 points available)
  • Average so far: 15.1 pts/race
  • Needed to catch the leader: 3.3 pts/race
  • Still mathematically alive: Yes

Last 5 results

RaceGridFinishPointsStatus
Barcelona Grand Prix1P218Finished
Monaco Grand Prix6P120Finished
Canadian Grand Prix1P190Retired
Miami Grand Prix5P412Finished
Japanese Grand Prix2P412Finished

Qualifying trend

BarcelonaP1
MonacoP6
CanadianP1
MiamiP5
JapaneseP2

Next race: Austrian Grand Prix

Red Bull Ring, Spielberg2026-06-28.

27%Rain chance
26°CAir temp
8.9 km/hMax wind

FAQ

What are George Russell's F1 Championship odds?

Polymarket currently implies a 14% chance that George Russell wins the Drivers' Championship. George Russell sits P3 on 106 points, 50 behind the leader.

Can George Russell still win the title?

Yes — mathematically. With 15 races left, a maximum of 375 points remain. To erase the 50-point gap, George Russell needs to average 3.3 points per race more than the leader.

Standings via API-Sports Formula-1 with Jolpica fallback. Schedule & results via Jolpica (Ergast). Odds & price history via Polymarket. Weather via Open-Meteo.